Belarusian National Technical University, Minsk, Belarus:

D. N. Shvaiba, Associate Professor, Candidate of Economic Sciences, shvabia@tut.by

Implementation of social and economic safety in the mining-and-chemical industry more often than not features inaccuracy of input data and a detailed description of various functions, which deadens the intention to draw rigorous quantitative conclusions from explicit quantitative models. Given that, the dynamics and stability of a system are to be analyzed using information on the features of the system’s structure. Regarding the analysis of dynamic processes in the mining-and-chemical industry with respect to its safety and appropriate managerial decision-making, it is possible to use the apparatus of signed and oriented graphs—orgraphs. This mathematical tool features a relative simplicity, which affords an opportunity to overcome essential computational difficulties connected with the need to take into account a variety of critical factors. This tool is weakly sensitive to the accuracy of the input data which enables construction of adequate models using qualitative relations. This is where the promising application area of orgraphs lies as far the subject discussed is concerned. The social and economic safety in the mining-and-chemical industry requires that any spontaneous effect on the market mechanisms of risk management is prevented by all means. Testing dynamic processes (in particular, endurance) induced by a disturbance influence of any nature is an indispensable formal procedure in solution of wide-range problems of control in complex social and economic systems (formulation of a social, economic and political strategy, study and selection of effectual financialand-economic and legal framework for various risk management, forecasting of various socio-political phenomena and events, etc.).

1. Vladimirov V. A., Vorobev Yu. L., Salov S. S., Faleev M. I., Arkhipova N. I. et al. Risk management. Risk. Sustainable development. Synergetics. Moscow : Nauka, 2000. 431 p.
2. Quanlong L., Xinchun L. Effective stability control research of evolutionary game in China’s coal mine safety supervision. Journal of Beijing University of Technology. 2015. Vol. 17(4). pp. 49–56.
3. Kolosova R. Economic growth and social development: ways to overcoming contradictions. Mirovaya ekonomika i mezhdunarodnye otnosheniya. 2018. Vol. 62, No. 1. pp. 114–119.
4. Zheng C., Chen Z., Kizil M., Aminossadati S., Zou Q., Gao P. Characterisation of mechanics and flow fields around in-seam methane gas drainage borehole for preventing ventilation air leakage: A case study. International Journal of Coal Geology. 2016. Vol. 162. pp. 123–138.
5. Demidovich B. P. Lecturers on the mathematical theory of stability. 3rd ed. Moscow : Lan, 2008. 480 p.
6. Keshavarz A., Sakurovs R., Grigore M., Sayyafzadeh M. Effect of maceral composition and coal rank on gas diffusion in Australian coals. International Journal of Coal Geology. 2017. Vol. 173. pp. 65–75.
7. Tikhonov V. E., Korneev I. K. Stability and quality of linear systems : Teaching aid. Moscow : MIU, 1981. 30 p.
8. Roberts F. S. Discrete Mathematical Models with Applications to Social, Biological, and Environmental Problems. Englewood Cliffs : Prentice-Hall, 1976. 559 p.
9. Roberts F. S. Signed diagraphs and the growing demand for energy. Environment and Planning A. 1971. Vol. 3, No. 4. pp. 395–410.
10. Maruyama M. The Second Cybernetics: Deviation-Amplifying Mutual Causal Processes. American Scientist. 1963. Vol. 51, No. 2. pp. 164–179.
11. Shvayba D. N. Methodological provisions for the socio-economic security measurement in the mining industry sector of Belarus. Gornyi Zhurnal. 2019. No. 12. pp. 30–34. DOI: 10.17580/gzh.2019.12.06
12. Zhonghui Li, Enyuan Wang, Jianchun Ou, Zhentang Liu. Hazard evaluation of coal and gas outbursts in a coal-mine roadway based on logistic regression model. International Journal of Rock Mechanics and Mining Sciences. 2015. Vol. 80. pp. 185–195.
13. Shvayba D. N. Conceptual framework of social and economic security in the mining and chemistry sector of the Republic of Belarus. Gornyi Zhurnal. 2020. No. 2. pp. 56–61. DOI: 10.17580/gzh.2020.02.07
14. Ryabkov I. L., Yashalova N. N. Economic security of the steel industry in conditions of the antidumping duties usage. Chernye Metally. 2019. No. 2. pp. 66–73.
15. Vishnevskiy A. A. Economic safety and modern vision of its contents. Trud. Profsoyuzy. Obshchestvo. 2017. No. 3(57). pp. 55–58.
16. Avramenko A. I. Social and economic development of Belarus : Challenges and risks. Economic and Legal Aspects of Economic Security of Belarus: Republican Conference Proceedings. Minsk : Akademiya MVD Respubliki Belarus, 2015. pp. 3–6.