Journals →  Gornyi Zhurnal →  2018 →  #3 →  Back

SCIENCE AND INDUSTRY
ArticleName Analysis and forecasts of coal mining and consumption in the world’s leading coal-producing countries in 2000–2035
DOI 10.17580/gzh.2018.03.01
ArticleAuthor Plakitkina L. S., Plakitkin Yu. A., Dyachenko K. I.
ArticleAuthorData

Energy Research Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia:

L. S. Plakitkina, Head of the Research Center for Coal Industry in the World and in Russian, Candidate of Engineering Sciences, luplak@rambler.ru
Yu. A. Plakitkin, Deputy Director, Professor, Doctor of Economic Sciences
K. I. Dyachenko, Senior Researcher, Candidate of Engineering Sciences

Abstract

Production and consumption of coal, including coking and power-generating coal, in major countries of the world in 2000–20165 is analyzed. The main trends in the global coal production are identified and forecasts are made over the period to 2035. By the beginning of 2017, the global coal reserves totaled 1139.3 Bt. In 2016, coal production in the world was 7.3 Bt (55.6% higher than in 2000), out of which 1.1 Bt was coking coal and 6.2 Bt was power-generating coal. By the end of 2016, the leading coal producers in the world were China (44.5%), India (9.7%), USA (9.2%), Australia (6.9%) and Indonesia (6.3%). Russia produced 5.3% of the global coal production, or 385.7 Mt of coal, which put it in the sixth place in the world. The global coal consumption in 2016 made 7.5 Bt (6.7% less than during the peak coal consumption in the world in 2013). Reduction in coal consumption worldwide is conditioned by the lessening of the demand for power-generating coal. At the same time, the coking coal demand has increased although it only takes 13% of the global coal consumption. Coal is mainly consumed for generation of electric power and heat, which totals 65.5% in the world use of coal on the average. The forecasts of the global coal production over the period to 2035, developed at the Research Center for Coal Industry in the World and in Russia at the Energy Research Institute, RAS, show that the world economy will loose annually round 120 Mt of coal, which is the level of annual coal consumption by the modern power industry in Russia.

keywords Development analysis, coal production, world, coal consumption, development prospects to 2035, coal reserves
References

1. BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2017. 66th ed. BP, 2017. 52 p. Available at: http://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp-country/en_gb/united-kingdom/pdf/bp-statistical-review-of-worldenergy-2017-full-report.pdf (accessed: 29.09.2017).
2. Coal Information 2000–2016. International Energy Agency. Available at: http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/energy/coal-information_16834275 (accessed: 29.09.2017).
3. Energy Price & Taxes 2000–2016. International Energy Agency. Available at: http://www.oecdilibrary.org/energy/energy-prices-and-taxes_16096835 (accessed: 29.09.2017).
4. Coal in China: Consumption, Production, Mining and Liquification. Facts and Details, 2012. Available at: http://factsanddetails.com/china/cat13/sub85/item322.html (accessed: 15.05.2017).
5. Coal Mining. Ministry of Coal, 2017. Available at: https://www.coal.gov.in/content/coal-mining (accessed: 15.05.2017).
6. Plakitkina L. S., Plakitkin Yu. A. Coal industry in Russia and in the world: analysis, trends and prospects of development. Moscow : Literra, 2017. 373 p.
7. Zenkov I. V. Mining economics and organization in the coal open-pit mines of Eastern Australia. Ugol. 2017. No. 6. pp. 60–61.
8. Kondratev V. B. Global Coal Market. Gornaya promyshlennost. 2017. No. 2. p. 17.
9. Mereminskaya E. USA will make the coal. 2014. Available at: www.gazeta.ru/business/2014/06/03/6057381.shtml (accessed: 02.02.2018)
10. Coal consumption statistics. Eurostat Statistics Explained, 2017. Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Coal_consumption_statistics (accessed: 02.02.2018)
11. Semashko N. Pure coal in the world: global practice. 2017. Available at: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3450096 (accessed: 19.11.2017)
12. Zenkov I. V. Mining organization and economics in the open-pit coal mines of the Eastern Europe countries. Ugol. 2017. No. 4. pp. 70–71.
13. Plakitkina L. S., Plakitkin Yu. A. Coal consumption in the major world regions and countries during the period from 2000 to 2015 - analysis, trends and prospects. Ugol. 2017. No. 1. pp. 57–61.

Language of full-text russian
Full content Buy
Back